The season will be a success if the Bucs win the Super Bowl and only if they win the Super Bowl. As quarterback Aaron Rodgers said, "I really think Allen is ready to make a jump and be a No. Deeper breakout options include Daniel Jones, Jameis Winston and, if healthy, Zach Wilson. The season will be a success if the Steelers can both run the ball and stop the run. A healthy Ward can solidify the position that was the 49ers' biggest defensive weakness a year ago, and he could be the player who pushes their defense back to 2019 levels of dominance. Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros), Miles Sanders (RB PHI) Tristan H. Cockcroft: Trey Lance, San Francisco 49ers If they can do that and avoid a second-half swoon, this season could end with a playoff appearance. Considering that -- along with a subpar Pittsburgh offensive line that ranked 31st in pass block win rate and a subpar defense -- you should take the Under -- Eric Moody. Quarterback Tom Brady called his comeback after a 40-day retirement "unfinished business." -- Keim. Ryan will be the fifth starting quarterback in as many years for the Colts, and reaction to his change of locale has been mostly tepid. -- Liz Loza, There's good reason for all the optimism, but ultimately the offensive line is a giant weakness and the division is too tough. He has overhauled his staff to add more experience and strengthened the overall roster. -- Eric Moody, I do not believe in Lance, but I do believe in Shanahan. Trevor Lawrence will thrive with his college buddy Etienne, a 2021 first-round pick and the Jaguars' new lead back, healthy after a lost season. Coach Nick Sirianni said the joint practices with the Miami Dolphins on Aug. 24 were Jalen Hurts' best practices since Sirianni arrived in Philadelphia. The Bills moved on from Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley, clearing the runway for Davis to be close to an . Hurts' growing comfort in the system is leading to quicker decisions, and his accuracy has jumped up a notch as well. New league weeks start every Thursday with TNF kickoff. And he'll be needed with Hopkins out for the first six games. But he hasn't done enough in Pete Carroll's view to overtake former Wilson backup Geno Smith, who will start Week 1. -- Eric Moody, The Buccaneers are tied for the highest win total after going 13-4 last season. -- Stephen Holder, The All-Pro linebacker practiced last week for the first time since last season and said the recent surgery to resolve a nerve issue that was causing lower-body pain has set him up to be pain-free for the first time since his rookie season in 2018. The future looks like it starts now. Gardner will have growing pains, sure, but he has the skill and swagger to change the personality of the defense. The season will be a success if second-year QB Zach Wilson makes a leap. Olave was able to accomplish this while playing alongside fellow first-round pick Garrett Wilson and projected 2023 first-rounder Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The one key difference between those two is their situations. Remember: The Cowboys have six regular-season games in December and January. It's the coverage traits and the physical profile of Surtain that vaults him into the discussion of the league's top cornerbacks. Rashod Batemans runway is clear, and hes ready for takeoff. The foot injury he suffered last year might hamper Henry's efficiency and durability entering the season, but I still see him as one of the game's most dominant players. -- Doug Kezirian. -- Liz Loza, Jacksonville had the worst record in the league last season with three wins. Keith Lipscomb: Darren Waller 2022 fantasy football breakout candidates include Trey Lance, Trevor Lawrence, and others As the NFL season draws closer, which players are primed to breakout in 2022 for fantasy football and could be values on draft day? Fantasy managers just need to forget about last season's dysfunctional clown show that was the Jacksonville Jaguars and see all the potential in a new, competent coaching staff with a tantalizing, young offense. Despite being a volume ball carrier, he has home run ability and can still wear down opposing defenses, and he will remain a big focus of the Titans' offense. Stephania Bell: Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers -- Jake Trotter, Hunt, who was a hold-in for two days of training camp, has demanded that the Browns either extend him or trade him. He's in line for upwards of 90 targets and could easily post a 65-830-6 stat line in his second season. Over the last five weeks of the season, Rashaad Penny led all running backs in rushing yards (671), rushing yards over expectation (272), touchdowns (six), rushes of 10-plus yards (16), yards after contact (486) and rushes reaching 15-plus mph (17). Stroud, more . Mike Clay: Drake London, Atlanta Falcons Yes, he's 37 years old, but his 14 years in the league show he's durable (he has missed just one game in his 12 years as a starter) and an experienced decision-maker who can get the ball to his receivers quickly (another trait already on display at minicamp). Buy the Gabriel Davis breakout. 1 seed. It's not too late to play with friends and family. McCaffrey hopes a change in preparation he received, in part, from Marshall Faulk will keep him healthy and help him return to the level he was in 2019, when he had 1,000 yards rushing and receiving. " Gabriel Davis screams breakout season for the 2022 year. Tua Tagovailoa is my favorite QB2 to target this season. Its Trevor Lawrence. -- Eric Moody, Coach Mike Tomlin has not had a losing season in 15 years with the Steelers. Davis fits the bill. Chicago hasn't put Fields in position to succeed yet, but if he can prove he is the right player to build around, the Bears will take a step toward solving their chronic quarterback issues. Elliott's diminishing speed and production will force the Cowboys to turn to Pollard by the end of October. Fantasy managers who drafted these players last season know very well how . Breakouts. -- Mike Triplett, The Jets could potentially have 13 starters who are either rookies or second-year players. -- Henderson, Adams isn't in danger of being released anytime soon, but the two first-round picks the Seahawks traded for him in 2020 and the $70 million extension they signed him to a year later didn't look like good investments last season. -- Bowen. Defensive coordinator Joe Woods noted that Elliott showed up to training camp weighing 320 pounds while looking like he only weighs 280. Olave could lead the team in targets. -- Anita Marks. -- Teicher, Hardman spent his first three seasons with the Chiefs in Tyreek Hill's considerable shadow, which can at least partly explain his inconsistent production since being drafted in the second round in 2019. -- Eric Moody. For all the focus on Mac Jones and the offense, the defense was swarming at times, with lineman Deatrich Wise Jr. noting how "dominating" the unit was in a joint practice with the Panthers. Most important discovery at camp: CB Tyson Campbell was the Jaguars' most impressive defensive player. Bet on traits and skill with the rookie here. -- Anita Marks. Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros), Rashod Bateman is ready to step into the full-time X receiver role in the Baltimore offense. -- Bowen. -- Hensley, Describe the QB situation in three words: Betting on himself, It looks like Lamar Jackson will decline the Ravens' offers for a contract extension and play out the final year of his rookie contract. -- Archer, Fantasy breakout candidate: Tony Pollard, RB, The efficient Pollard enters his fourth campaign with a chance to push Elliott for a larger share of touches and perhaps his first 1,000-yard rushing season. Bold prediction for 2022: Carr will throw a career-high 35 touchdown passes in McDaniels' offense. He's a well-rounded pass-catcher, whose experience as a Z offers fantasy managers a steady share of regular opportunities. His only real target competition is Kyle Pitts, but it's easy to picture both of those two having a 25-percent target share. The team, which finished 3-13-1 last season, is still in the midst of a rebuild, but the front office has upgraded the roster through free agency and the draft this offseason. Describe the QB situation in three words: Better than before. A starting role should increase his floor, while his fantasy ceiling remains sky-high in a high-powered offense. -- Erin Dolan. Melendez didn't exactly set the world on fire as a rookie last season, slashing .217/.313/.393 with 18 home runs, 21 doubles and 62 RBIs in 129 games. Hunt is too important to the Browns' offense. With tight end-friendly Ryan under center, Alie-Cox could post career numbers and emerge as the sneakiest breakout of the season. -- Bowen, Greenard flashed the ability to get to the quarterback in 2021, as he netted eight sacks in 12 games. The notoriously difficult position is one Gordon assumed immediately in training camp, and he has shown off his incredible range playing both inside and outside. If the offensive line can correct the array of mistakes on display in the preseason and give Najee Harris room to run -- along with protecting the quarterback -- the Steelers will do enough offensively to support a stacked defense. The time is right to go all-in on a rookie wide receiver. For the first time in his NFL career, Tua Tagovailoa is being surrounded with elite talent. -- Mike Triplett, The Fins' defense will struggle without Brian Flores. -- Liz Loza, The Colts have one of the easiest schedules in the league after a 9-8 season, and don't forget that Jonathan Taylor led the league with 1,811 rushing yards last season. While the 2022 NFL regular season ended, it's never too early to look ahead to the 2023 campaign. -- Bowen, Gilmore is completely healthy for the first time in two years, and his improved health resulted in a dominant showing during training camp. But this is really about new coach Dennis Allen's defense. If he has made another one with Mayfield, and the Panthers don't contend for the playoffs, team owner David Tepper might not have the patience to give him a fourth year. He needs to carry those improvements over to regular-season action, of course, but signs are pointing to an improved Hurts in 2022. -- Doug Kezirian. Mike Clay: Dawson Knox . Be prepared to jump a round or three to go get him. Field Yates: Drake London. Etienne boasts Alvin Kamara characteristics as a runner and pass-catcher. He has to prove on the field that he can be a consistent high-end starter. But if anything was to happen to Hall, he has RB1 upside. -- Archer, Smith is out until at least early December because of surgery to reattach his left hamstring to his knee. The season will be a success if quarterback Davis Mills takes the next step. Stephania Bell: Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints He has already shown his chops at training camp and earned a reputation for good footwork, impressive hands and otherworldly body control. -- Demovsky, With all the focus on rookies Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs, the veteran Watkins will actually start the season ahead of them on the receiver depth chart. A run-first offense for the Ravens wont stop Bateman from soaring in 2022. Joe Kaiser: Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals -- Eric Woodyard. Keep an eye on second-year wideout Terrace Marshall Jr. here too. The season will be a success if the Cardinals finish strong. -- Josh Weinfuss, The Cardinals traded for the receiver on the first day of the NFL draft, reuniting him with his college quarterback, Kyler Murray. Hurst is out to show he can be a quality starter in the league and could be a key player for a Bengals team looking to field one of the best offenses in the NFL. He is in line for upward of 90 targets, with 10% to 15% of them in the red zone. Wilson's arrival changed everything, and if he plays near a Pro Bowl level, a lot of folks are going to say the five picks and three players the Broncos gave up to trade for Wilson aren't going to seem like that big a price tag. -- Davenport, Fantasy breakout candidate: Robert Woods, WR, Robert Woods is projected for 106 targets and has an average draft position of WR46 in ESPN leagues. If they don't, Atlanta will know it has to be in the draft or free agency quarterback market next offseason. Chase Edmonds is going to be a big beneficiary of Hill and Waddle. Last season, Baltimore lost two overtime games and four tilts by two points or fewer. 2 pass-catcher in it could have a legitimate shot at a top-20 season. Kenneth Gainwell ran well in the preseason, while Miles Sanders continues to miss time due to injury. Chubb is poised to be a problem for the tackles across from him, especially if free agent signee Randy Gregory has the season the Broncos hope he can. Talent and opportunity are aligned nicely here. At the heart of their season was Christian Kirk proving everyone wrong who said the Jaguars. The Bears will be leaning on his contributions to turn around a secondary that struggled mightily last season. Per Matt Harmons Reception Perception work, Batemans success rate was in the 85th percentile against zone coverage and the 81st percentile versus press. With Jefferson bolstering the passing game and running back Dalvin Cook's three-down ability, the table is set for Cousins to have his most productive year as a pro. "A very minor procedure. He struggled with locating the ball early as a rookie in 2021, which made him a bit of a liability in man coverage, but he came on late in the season and was markedly better in camp. 33d Mike Clay. That was the game where the world learned the name Gabriel Davis, but this season will be the year he becomes a household name. The Colts feature one the best run games with Taylor behind an upper-tier offensive front, and the pass game will be much more efficient with the addition of Ryan. Which WR has the best shot of having a breakout year in 2022 and why? With Miles Sanders' struggles catching passes, Gainwell could see even more targets as a receiver out of the backfield in 2022. He and Davis Mills spent much of the summer working out together and further developing the chemistry that started to build last winter. 3 in Arizona behind DeAndre Hopkins and Larry Fitzgerald. Given that financial investment and more than 150 targets vacated in Indy (including 40-plus via TE Jack Doyle's retirement), the converted basketball star (VCU) could emerge as one of the team's primary pass-catchers. He's got one of the NFL's best groups of skill position players around him, and at 34, he is still in his physical prime. Eric Moody: Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders -- Eric Moody. Reed, can change that. Eric Moody: Dameon Pierce, Houston Texans The rookie out of Georgia will rack up the touchdown catches this season. -- Baby, The Bengals' third-year wide receiver will be up for a contract extension in 2023. Every season since his blockbuster rookie campaign in 2018 . His competition is Rex Burkhead, and after one breakout game in the preseason, really it was just five touches, Pierce took over that starting gig. Breakout: A player (rookies included) who will rise up with career-best numbers in 2022 and make a huge impact. Marcas Grant and Michael F. Florio are BACK in the New Year for a special edition of the NFL Fantasy Football Podcast! Brown and Antonio Brown. -- Terrell, Fantasy breakout candidate: Chris Olave, WR, Temper expectations for all of the Saints' pass-catchers since Thomas, Alvin Kamara, Olave and Jarvis Landry will have to share the pie. His issue has been bad choices at quarterback. Projected draft round: 6th. Each analyst named a sleeper and a bust for each of the major offensive positions, as well as one breakout candidate. 5 overall pick in 2018, and he is in the final year of his rookie deal. Liz Loza: Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers Significant improvement in that area doesn't fall solely to Karlaftis, one of the team's two first-round picks this year, but he needs to be part of the solution and not part of the problem. -- Mike DiRocco, Kirk is now the Jaguars' No. Kmet had a strange 2021, as he had 93 targets and 19 red zone targets but no touchdowns. -- Bowen, Courtland Sutton has a 1,000-yard season and Pro Bowl trip on his rsum and looks like the Broncos' WR1. -- Erin Dolan. Bold prediction for 2022: Pollard will replace Elliott as the Cowboys' lead back. Wilson starts the season with a knee injury, and the team begins its schedule with four straight games against AFC North opponents. Fantasy football draft strategy 2023: What changes should you consider? The defensive front seven and the offensive line will dictate the Steelers' success this season. The success of the line hinges on Stanley, who was activated from the physically unable to perform list on Aug. 26. The season will be a success if the defense can match the expected play of the offense. Prescott and Elliott will struggle in an offense that will be missing Amari Cooper. Kyle Soppe: Trey Lance Field Yates: DK Metcalf, Seattle Seahawks. So is the calf strain that limited his movement from the middle of last season and the left shoulder injury that required minor surgery in the offseason. -- Bowen, Waller missed most of the second half of training camp with what was described as a hamstring issue, even as rumors floated that the 2020 Pro Bowl tight end was "holding in," waiting for a contract extension. Edwards-Helaire rushed 119 times for 517 yards, caught 19 passes for 129 yards and scored six total touchdowns in 10 games last season. As a rookie, Bateman dropped just two of 68 targets, and he showed upside over the final month of the season, posting 100 receiving yards in one contest, a touchdown and a game with double-digit targets. -- Jamison Hensley, The most important comeback for Baltimore is Stanley, who was a first-team All-Pro left tackle in his last full season in 2019. Eric Karabell: Hunter Henry After almost 200 vacated. He fell to a position where he could easily lead all rookies in touches. There's no question he is the Texans' best running back. The season will be a success if the Patriots register at least one playoff win. WR Gabriel Davis: No other Buffalo skill player comes close to Davis for breakout honors. So, who has the best shot at significantly outperforming their draft cost? Field Yates: James Conner. 2022 NFL draft by round. Only the 17th-highest-paid tight end in the NFL, Waller is a game-breaker when healthy but missed six games last season because of back and knee issues, and coach Josh McDaniels would not commit to Waller playing in the season opener. They are talented and stacked at every position. Jalen Hurts. -- Turron Davenport. Hes got an easy path to double-digit touchdowns after Henderson and Sony Michel combined for the second-most red zone touches among RBs last season, accompanied by the lowest rushing TD rate of any team. -- Getzenberg. Sanders is a good real-life RB, but he is overvalued for fantasy. -- Doug Kezirian. Matt Bowen: Russell Gage, Tampa Bay Buccaneers Eric Karabell: Trevor Lawrence Tannehill has already shown a tendency to go to Philips in third-down situations because of his sure-handed pass catching and ability to find open windows. But Floyd has registered 20 sacks in his past two seasons in L.A. With Von Miller now in Buffalo, and a Rams defense that will scheme fronts and bring pressure, I see Floyd posting big totals this season. In fact, he has 24 TD catches over the past two seasons and is fully healthy heading into 2022. Even if he misses time, on a per-game basis, he is very likely to outlive his draft cost. The second-year wideout has received glowing reviews during camp and projects to work as a complement to Brandin Cooks. Kmets eighth-ranked route participation and seventh-ranked target share (17%) from 2021 hardly align with his fantasy production no tight end finished with more fantasy points under expectation (-36.6) than the Notre Dame product in 2021. Reuniting with Adams and getting a healthy Darren Waller back figures to improve his efficiency and push his passing touchdown total above 30. Bold prediction for 2022: The Saints will win the NFC South. He has had a strong start to his career and is coming off a 1,000-yard season. NFL Pick Six; Fantasy Football Today; . Take advantage as he is pure upside when on the field. However, it's the fundamentally sound defense -- with three levels of playmakers, including new offseason addition Von Miller -- that will close out games for Buffalo on the postseason stage. And while playing on a limited snap share, Davis ranks top five in the NFL in total end zone targets. -- Cimini, Fantasy breakout candidate: Elijah Moore, WR, Lots of intriguing candidates on the Jets with rookies Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. It doesn't take much to understand why fantasy drafters aren't fighting each other to draft Barkley in the first couple of rounds. The Giants will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones after this season, shifting their focus to the draft prep of Young. Kyle Soppe: Robert Tonyan, Green Bay Packers However, Herbert helped produce one of the NFL's top offenses in 2021, and after significant shortcomings on defense, the Bolts invested significant resources on that side of the ball. If that seems hyperbolic, it's not. -- Eric Moody. Joe Kaiser: Evan Engram, Jacksonville Jaguars The offseason acquisition of Brown boosts the pass game for Hurts, and Philly's defensive upgrades give this unit a much more physical and versatile profile. -- Bowen, The rookie is dealing with a sprained right MCL. The 6-2, 210-pound third-year receiver will now be one of the starters in the Bills' high passing offense. The Panthers have mismanaged the quarterback position during Rhule's time in charge. Keith Lipscomb: Trevor Lawrence Aiyuk followed that strong finish with his first full "normal" offseason spent working out with Lance and honing his route-running ability. Last year, Njoku was 11th in yards per route run, fifth in yards after the catch per reception and seventh in slot yards per route run (per PFF). Eric Moody: Dallas Goedert, Philadelphia Eagles Deebo Samuel. The Falcons swapped veteran Matt Ryan for Marcus Mariota, Calvin Ridley is suspended for the season, they have a daunting schedule and they are expected to regress after going 7-2 in one-score games last season. Look for Joseph to be one of the top candidates after his Arizona defense registers top-10 numbers this season. In 2022, he could see his numbers skyrocket now that Eric Ebron is no longer on the roster. Of his rookie deal upwards of 90 targets and 19 red zone targets but No.... He could see his numbers skyrocket now that Eric Ebron is No longer on the field that can... 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